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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Burton Albion

Charlton
3 - 2
Burton Albion

Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Payne (87'), Maynard-Brewer (90+7')
Payne (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Moon (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Burton Albion

The two sides have improved considerably in recent weeks, with Burton looking like a much better team in the second half of the season, and they will both have aims of competing at the top end of the table next season. Charlton have been solid at home of late, having not lost since a 1-0 defeat against promotion-chasing Sheffield Wednesday in February, while Burton won 3-2 away at Port vale in their last away trip, so the most likely result is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
55.25% (-0.419 -0.42) 22.43% (0.161 0.16) 22.32% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (-0.427 -0.43)42.31% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (-0.43 -0.43)64.71% (0.428 0.43)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.285 -0.28)15.21% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.538 -0.54)43.85% (0.536 0.54)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 55.25%
    Burton Albion 22.32%
    Draw 22.43%
Charlton AthleticDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 55.25%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Charlton vs Burton Albion

Charlton Athletic
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Burton Albion
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Taylor (70')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Burton Albion
4-2
Charlton
Akins (9'), Powell (39'), Hughes (53'), Vernam (76')
Akins (64')
Smyth (42'), Aneke (67')
Gunter (30'), Gilbey (61'), Watson (65'), Maatsen (80'), Aneke (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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