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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Burton Albion |
50.24% ( -0.01) | 25.5% ( 0) | 24.26% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% ( -0.01) | 53.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% ( -0.01) | 74.81% ( 0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.78% ( -0.01) | 21.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.89% ( -0.01) | 54.11% ( 0.01) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.98% ( 0) | 37.01% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% ( 0) | 73.8% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.41% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |