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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 13
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Exeter


Evans (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Exeter City

With both teams struggling for confidence, we think that Tuesday's encounter could prove to be a cagey contest, where the two sides may have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
51.65% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21) 24.17% (0.061 0.06) 24.18% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.106 -0.11)47.96% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)70.13% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.119 -0.12)18.56% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (-0.203 -0.2)49.81% (0.209 0.21)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (0.076999999999998 0.08)34.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (0.081 0.08)70.87% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 51.65%
    Exeter City 24.18%
    Draw 24.16%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.18%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
52.9%
Draw
29.4%
Exeter City
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Exeter
Hoole (10')
Brown (24')
Grounds (90')
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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