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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Wycombe Wanderers

Exeter
1 - 0
Wycombe

Cox (65')
Rankine (7'), Caldwell (8'), Diabate (45+1'), Aitchison (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vincent-Young (50'), Sadlier (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Wycombe Wanderers

Both these sides come into this match having failed to win a single league game in over two months. This is a very even contest on paper, and while both teams are likely to go all out for the win, we feel they will end up sharing the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawWycombe Wanderers
37.09% (1.746 1.75) 25.66% (0.383 0.38) 37.25% (-2.128 -2.13)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-1.206 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-1.606 -1.61)48.66% (1.608 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-1.48 -1.48)70.77% (1.482 1.48)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.241 0.24)25.6% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (0.328 0.33)60.48% (-0.326 -0.33)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-1.867 -1.87)25.51% (1.869 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.64% (-2.622 -2.62)60.36% (2.624 2.62)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 37.09%
    Wycombe Wanderers 37.25%
    Draw 25.65%
Exeter CityDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.631 0.63)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.215 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.469 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.422 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.25%

How you voted: Exeter vs Wycombe

Exeter City
26.7%
Draw
66.7%
Wycombe Wanderers
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Wycombe
0-3
Exeter

Bloomfield (12'), Boyes (18'), Vincent-Young (33')
Aitchison (1'), Aimson (4'), Scott (83')
Aimson (11'), Sweeney (58')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Wycombe
1-1
Exeter
McDonald (68')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
3-1
Wycombe
Kite (22'), Collins (38'), Dieng (74')
Wheeler (50')
McCleary (45+1'), Scowen (59'), Forino-Joseph (73')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
0-0
Wycombe
Wycombe win 4-3 on penalties
Sparkes (79')
Mehmeti (54')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Exeter
1-1
Wycombe
James (12')
Sweeney (61'), Holmes (64'), James (90')
Bean (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125


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