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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Derby logo

Coventry
1 - 2
Derby

Sakamoto (77')
Eccles (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yates (11'), Thomas (73' og.)
Cashin (34'), Adams (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Derby
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Derby County

After a handsome victory in the North-East on the weekend, Coventry should be confident of putting newly-promoted Derby to the sword at the CBS Arena. The Rams struggle massively away from their Pride Park fortress, and we cannot envisage the visitors earning anything from this Midlands derby on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawDerby County
46.27% (0.503 0.5) 24.42% (0.429 0.43) 29.31% (-0.934 -0.93)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-2.064 -2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-2.459 -2.46)45.29% (2.457 2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-2.397 -2.4)67.63% (2.395 2.4)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (-0.776 -0.78)19.69% (0.775 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-1.274 -1.27)51.68% (1.272 1.27)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-1.866 -1.87)28.8% (1.864 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-2.384 -2.38)64.65% (2.382 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 46.27%
    Derby County 29.31%
    Draw 24.42%
Coventry CityDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.73 0.73)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.424 0.42)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.276 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.576 0.58)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.375 0.38)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.31%

How you voted: Coventry vs Derby

Coventry City
80.0%
Draw
11.3%
Derby County
8.8%
80
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Lawrence (66' pen.)
Byrne (57')
Godden (28')
Bidwell (22'), Dabo (54'), Hamer (66')
Jan 8, 2022 12.30pm
Third Round
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Hyam (42')
Shipley (53')

Jagielka (31'), Ebosele (57')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
1-1
Derby
Godden (20' pen.)
Maatsen (44')
Shinnie (78')
Davies (71'), Morrison (88')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Biamou (11')
Hamer (30'), McCallum (89')

Clarke (9'), Buchanan (37'), Knight (49'), Kazim-Richards (57')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Kazim-Richards (83')
Kazim-Richards (11'), Holmes (63'), Bielik (68'), Clarke (87')
Hamer (90+1')
O'Hare (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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