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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
46.27% ( 0.5) | 24.42% ( 0.43) | 29.31% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( -2.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -2.46) | 45.29% ( 2.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -2.4) | 67.63% ( 2.4) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( -0.78) | 19.69% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.32% ( -1.27) | 51.68% ( 1.27) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( -1.87) | 28.8% ( 1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% ( -2.38) | 64.65% ( 2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.58) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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