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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Exeter City

Cambridge
2 - 0
Exeter

Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Exeter City

 Both teams will view Friday's fixture as a winnable game in their quest to climb further adrift of the bottom four, but the momentum is with a rejuvenated Cambridge outfit and they should have enough firepower at their disposal to outscore Exeter on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
44.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.42% (0.052 0.05) 29.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.228 -0.23)49.44% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.205 -0.21)71.48% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.11 -0.11)21.96% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.166 -0.17)55.25% (0.163 0.16)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.134 -0.13)30.7% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.156 -0.16)66.96% (0.15299999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 44.98%
    Exeter City 29.6%
    Draw 25.41%
Cambridge UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.6%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Exeter

Cambridge United
70.6%
Draw
5.9%
Exeter City
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cambridge
1-4
Exeter
Ironside (55')
Iredale (12'), Ironside (41'), Knoyle (50'), Digby (90')
Bowman (3'), Sparkes (15'), Collins (67'), Jay (80')
Bowman (50')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Jay (16' pen.), Randall (34')
Parkes (58'), Taylor (77'), McArdle (90+2')

Digby (41'), Dunk (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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