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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Cambridge United |
61% ( -0) | 21.63% | 17.38% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 51.41% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.22% ( 0) | 45.77% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.91% ( 0) | 68.09% ( -0) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.48% ( -0) | 14.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.46% ( -0) | 42.54% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.14% ( 0) | 39.86% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.48% ( 0) | 76.52% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.38% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.99% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |