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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Carlisle United |
36.53% ( -0.11) | 27.13% ( 0) | 36.34% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 50.51% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.12% ( -0.01) | 54.88% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.82% ( -0) | 76.17% ( 0) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( -0.07) | 28.87% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( -0.09) | 64.74% ( 0.08) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.01% ( 0.06) | 28.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.11% ( 0.07) | 64.88% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |