Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 58.7%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United |
58.7% ( -0.97) | 20.57% ( 0.47) | 20.74% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.34% ( -1.53) | 35.65% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.28% ( -1.71) | 57.71% ( 1.71) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.03% ( -0.74) | 11.97% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.63% ( -1.59) | 37.37% ( 1.59) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( -0.44) | 30.38% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% ( -0.52) | 66.57% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.48% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 20.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
> National League Full Table |