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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Augsburg |
44.99% ( 0.97) | 25.88% ( -0.11) | 29.14% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.43% ( 0.08) | 51.57% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( 0.07) | 73.36% ( -0.06) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.13% ( 0.49) | 22.86% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.4% ( 0.72) | 56.6% ( -0.72) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( -0.58) | 32.14% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( -0.66) | 68.62% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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