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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
29.27% ( 0.12) | 24.81% ( 0.01) | 45.92% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.97% ( 0.02) | 47.02% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.73% ( 0.02) | 69.27% ( -0.02) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( 0.1) | 29.7% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.24% ( 0.12) | 65.76% ( -0.12) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( -0.05) | 20.54% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( -0.08) | 53.05% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 29.27% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
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