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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Augsburg logo

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
Augsburg

Bellarabi (9'), Diaby (24', 65', 69'), Alario (81')
Bellarabi (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Maier (62')
Pedersen (43'), Uduokhai (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Augsburg

Leverkusen will be expected to win comfortably on Saturday, with their visitors enduring poor form on the road this season and a dreadful record against their opponents overall. Schick will be hoping to continue his fine form in front of goal, and we expect him to be amongst the scorers in a dominant Leverkusen display. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAugsburg
62.27%19.9%17.83%
Both teams to score 58.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.87%37.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.67%59.33%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.55%11.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.74%36.25%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84%34.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15%70.85%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 62.27%
    Augsburg 17.83%
    Draw 19.9%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 7.13%
3-0 @ 6.64%
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.83%
4-0 @ 3.6%
4-2 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 5.3%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.9%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-1 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 17.83%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Augsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
88.2%
Draw
9.8%
Augsburg
2.0%
51
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Iago (3' og.), Niederlechner (14' og.), Schick (75'), Wirtz (81')
Demirbay (66')
Feb 21, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Augsburg
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Tapsoba (90+5')
Tapsoba (32'), Aranguiz (39'), Diaby (88'), Fosu-Mensah (89')
Oct 26, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Augsburg
Alario (16' pen., 74'), Diaby (90+4')
Alario (78')
Caligiuri (51')
Framberger (15'), Vargas (77')
Feb 23, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Augsburg
Diaby (25'), Amiri (59')
Tapsoba (20'), Wendell (62')

Khedira (15'), Gouweleeuw (20'), Jedvaj (32'), Baier (72')
Sep 28, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Augsburg
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Max (19'), Lichtsteiner (45'), Vargas (63'), Schieber (75')
Niederlechner (34' og.), Volland (76'), Havertz (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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