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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
31.56% ( 0.46) | 25.59% ( 0.39) | 42.85% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 54.49% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -1.49) | 49.35% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -1.36) | 71.4% ( 1.36) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( -0.44) | 29.3% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.73% ( -0.54) | 65.27% ( 0.54) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.07% ( -1.04) | 22.93% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.31% ( -1.55) | 56.69% ( 1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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