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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
32.28% ( -0.54) | 22.89% ( 0.21) | 44.82% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 64.35% ( -1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.41% ( -1.24) | 36.59% ( 1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.25% ( -1.36) | 58.74% ( 1.36) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.36% ( -0.89) | 22.64% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.73% ( -1.34) | 56.27% ( 1.34) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% ( -0.36) | 16.82% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% ( -0.64) | 46.8% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.34% Total : 44.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |