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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Union Berlin logo

Werder Bremen
4 - 1
Union Berlin

Grull (13', 17'), Weiser (45'), Stage (87')
Friedl (19'), Burke (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Schafer (23')
Doekhi (5'), Khedira (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Union Berlin

Despite losing four of their last five Bundesliga away fixtures, only Bayern (3-0) beat Union by more than a goal. While Bremen are anticipated to secure three points, the outcome might be closer than the form table suggests. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
40.99% (-0.111 -0.11) 26.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 32.47% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.79% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (0.225 0.23)52.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.191 0.19)74.58% (-0.191 -0.19)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.043000000000006 0.04)25.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)60.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (0.21799999999999 0.22)30.51% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.259 0.26)66.73% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 40.98%
    Union Berlin 32.48%
    Draw 26.53%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.48%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin

Werder Bremen
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Union Berlin
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
2-1
Werder Bremen
Vertessen (50'), Aaronson (52')
Vogt (26'), Gosens (27'), Tousart (30')
Weiser (63')
Lynen (32'), Weiser (38'), Ducksch (41'), Stage (72'), Keita (90')
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Werder Bremen
2-0
Union Berlin
Knoche (38' og.), Ducksch (75')
Stage (73')

Gosens (56'), Leite (80'), Hollerbach (85'), Laidouni (90+6')
Khedira (60')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
1-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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