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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Werder Bremen |
43.38% ( -1.31) | 23.44% ( 0.1) | 33.18% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 62.66% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.05% ( -0.02) | 38.95% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.73% ( -0.02) | 61.27% ( 0.03) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.66% ( -0.54) | 18.34% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.55% ( -0.93) | 49.45% ( 0.94) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% ( 0.69) | 23.26% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.81% ( 0.99) | 57.19% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.66% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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