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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Bayern logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 5
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-2)
Olise (23', 60'), Musiala (32'), Kane (57'), Gnabry (65')
Laimer (38'), Pavlovic (77'), Upamecano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 9-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern Munich

Though Werder Bremen have proven capable defensively this season, it is difficult to see them keeping a clean sheet given the rampant form of the visitors in front of goal. Fresh from their win in the Champions League, Bayern will be full of confidence and should be strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
15.49% (0.173 0.17) 17.4% (0.115 0.11) 67.11% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 62.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.65% (-0.184 -0.18)29.35% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.59% (-0.227 -0.23)50.4% (0.233 0.23)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.09 0.09)68.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (-0.101 -0.1)8.13% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.47% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)28.53% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.49%
    Bayern Munich 67.11%
    Draw 17.4%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 2.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.69% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.49%
1-1 @ 7.44% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.4%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.83% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 67.11%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
12.3%
Draw
6.1%
Bayern Munich
81.6%
114
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
0-1
Werder Bremen

Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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