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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Bayern
6 - 1
Werder Bremen

Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Jung (10')

The Match

Match Report

Serge Gnabry scores a hat-trick as Bayern Munich move four points clear at the top of the Bundesliga courtesy of a 6-1 drubbing of Werder Bremen.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
80.79% (-1.609 -1.61) 11.89% (0.987 0.99) 7.32% (0.6291 0.63)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-1.307 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.74% (-2.884 -2.88)25.26% (2.892 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.75% (-3.849 -3.85)45.25% (3.857 3.86)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.25% (-0.759 -0.76)4.75% (0.7671 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.78% (-2.393 -2.39)19.22% (2.401 2.4)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53% (-0.902 -0.9)42.47% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16% (-0.785 -0.79)78.84% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 80.79%
    Werder Bremen 7.32%
    Draw 11.89%
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
3-0 @ 9.51% (0.274 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.765 0.76)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.47 0.47)
4-0 @ 7.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 6.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-0 @ 6.15% (0.81 0.81)
5-0 @ 4.42% (-0.382 -0.38)
5-1 @ 3.78% (-0.431 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.213 -0.21)
6-0 @ 2.24% (-0.335 -0.34)
6-1 @ 1.92% (-0.342 -0.34)
5-2 @ 1.62% (-0.23 -0.23)
7-0 @ 0.98% (-0.211 -0.21)
Other @ 5.05%
Total : 80.79%
1-1 @ 5.26% (0.579 0.58)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 2.02% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 11.89%
1-2 @ 2.25% (0.197 0.2)
0-1 @ 1.73% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 7.32%

How you voted: Bayern vs Werder Bremen

Bayern Munich
88.4%
Draw
5.8%
Werder Bremen
5.8%
172
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 16, 2020 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2019 7.45pm
Werder Bremen
2-3
Bayern
Osako (74'), Rashica (75')
Klaassen (25'), Kruse (84')
Lewandowski (36', 80'), Muller (63')
Hummels (26'), Rodriguez (84'), Lewandowski (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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