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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz


Fullkrug (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ingvartsen (36'), Jae-sung (66')
Hack (45'), Burkardt (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Mainz 05

Bremen seem like a much more settled unit than Mainz, who may be struggling with the unavailability of a few key players. In the shape of their front two, the hosts have more firepower than the majority of teams in the division on current form, and we can see them ending Saturday in second position by gaining a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
54.2% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33) 22.24% (0.14 0.14) 23.56% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (-0.438 -0.44)40.06% (0.442 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (-0.456 -0.46)62.43% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.259 -0.26)14.78% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.501 -0.5)43.03% (0.505 0.5)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)66.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 54.2%
    Mainz 05 23.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.2%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05

Werder Bremen
82.7%
Draw
9.6%
Mainz 05
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz 05

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
Mar 30, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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