Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for AVS had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | AVS |
39.58% ( 0.26) | 26.59% ( 0.11) | 33.83% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 51.96% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.08% ( -0.49) | 52.92% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% ( -0.42) | 74.53% ( 0.42) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% ( -0.08) | 26.2% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.71% ( -0.11) | 61.29% ( 0.11) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( -0.48) | 29.59% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.38% ( -0.58) | 65.62% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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