Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | AVS |
41.32% ( -0.07) | 27.92% ( 0.04) | 30.76% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.29% ( -0.14) | 58.7% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.76% ( -0.11) | 79.24% ( 0.11) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( -0.1) | 27.95% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( -0.13) | 63.58% ( 0.13) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.32% ( -0.06) | 34.67% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.6% ( -0.06) | 71.4% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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