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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior
Nacional

Casa Pia
vs.
Nacional

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Amora 0-5 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Nacional

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

We say: Casa Pia 2-0 Nacional

 Still licking their wounds from their Taca de Portugal disappointment, Nacional will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and get their campaign up and running. However, Casa Pia will enter this one with sky-high confidence, particularly off the back of a dominant cup display, and we are backing them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 32.22% and a draw has a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.1%).

Result
Casa PiaDrawNacional
39.89% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03) 27.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.61% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)58.25% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.020000000000003 0.02)78.89% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.32% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (0.039000000000001 0.04)33.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (0.041999999999998 0.04)70.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 39.88%
    Nacional 32.22%
    Draw 27.89%
Casa PiaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.88%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.22%

Who will win Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Nacional?

Casa Pia
Draw
Nacional
Casa Pia
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Nacional
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Nacional
0-0
Casa Pia
(Aggregate 0-0 | Nacional win 6-5 on penalties)
Sousa (12'), Esteves (19'), Aurelio (42'), Pola (83'), Gustavo (88'), Danilovic (96')
Lelo (30'), Roberto (74'), Clayton (80'), Batista (105+1'), Larrazabal (105+2')
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
2-1
Nacional
Cardoso (55'), Clayton (90+4')
Cardoso (15'), Bernardo Neto Monteiro (37'), Neto (42'), Lelo (72')
Witi (3')
Daniel (48')
Feb 9, 2023 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Casa Pia
2-5
Nacional
Pinto (53'), Martins (80')
Esteves (44', 46'), Danilovic (94' pen.), Gomes (105+3' pen.), Gustavo (108')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon88002722524
2Porto87011841421
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara8503119215
5Braga8422136714
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes842298114
7FamalicaoFamalicao834194513
8MoreirenseMoreirense83231011-111
9Gil Vicente82421012-210
10AVS8233711-49
11Casa Pia8224611-58
12Rio AveRio Ave8224613-78
13AroucaArouca8215413-97
14BoavistaBoavista8134510-56
15Estoril PraiaEstoril8134411-76
16Estrela Amadora8125513-85
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense8116313-104
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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