Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional2 - 0Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-5 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, August 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, August 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Nacional 1-1 SC Farense
Nacional and Farense have endured a slow start to the new campaign and will be looking to secure a morale-boosting result this weekend. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict they will cancel out each other's efforts at the Estadio da Madeira. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | SC Farense |
46.56% ( 0.15) | 23.87% ( 0.05) | 29.57% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
