Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.