Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.