Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Jan 18, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Coopers Stadium
Adelaide United3 - 2Victory
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wellington 1-2 Adelaide United
Saturday, January 11 at 4am in Australian A-League
Saturday, January 11 at 4am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Victory 3-4 Western Utd
Friday, January 10 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Friday, January 10 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.48%) and 3-1 (5.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
42.42% ( -0.11) | 22.15% ( 0.08) | 35.44% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 68.38% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.22% ( -0.38) | 31.78% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.7% ( -0.45) | 53.3% ( 0.45) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.19) | 15.82% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55% ( -0.35) | 45% ( 0.36) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.16) | 18.77% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.83% ( -0.26) | 50.17% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Adelaide United 42.42%
Melbourne Victory 35.44%
Draw 22.15%
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.88% Total : 42.42% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.44% |
Form Guide
