Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 65.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
65.98% ( 0.16) | 18.07% ( -0.22) | 15.95% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 61.02% ( 1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.24% ( 1.24) | 31.76% ( -1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.71% ( 1.44) | 53.28% ( -1.44) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% ( 0.37) | 9.01% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.3% ( 0.89) | 30.7% ( -0.89) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.07% ( 0.86) | 32.93% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.49% ( 0.95) | 69.51% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.19% Total : 65.98% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.07% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 15.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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