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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.48%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-3 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
8.11% ( 0.15) | 12.41% ( -0.01) | 79.48% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.23% ( 0.67) | 24.77% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.38% ( 0.87) | 44.62% ( -0.87) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.81% ( 0.88) | 40.19% ( -0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.17% ( 0.79) | 76.83% ( -0.79) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.14% ( 0.11) | 4.86% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.44% ( 0.32) | 19.56% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 8.11% | 1-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.41% | 0-3 @ 9% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 6.81% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 6.2% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.22) 0-5 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 0-6 @ 2.08% 1-6 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) Other @ 6.16% Total : 79.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |