MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 02:40:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
PEC Zwolle

PSV
4 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Lozano (5'), Til (28'), de Jong (57'), Tillman (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Garcia McNulty (40'), Thomas (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 PEC Zwolle

With the visitors having impressed of late, this has effectively become a free pass to try to shock the leaders. However, we do not anticipate any Dutch team defeating PSV for the foreseeable future and it would come as a surprise if the home side do not cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
72.68% (-0.88 -0.88) 15.28% (0.392 0.39) 12.04% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 60.95% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.97% (-0.634 -0.63)27.03% (0.64 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.48% (-0.806 -0.81)47.52% (0.811 0.81)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.52% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)6.48% (0.3009 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.79% (-0.82799999999999 -0.83)24.21% (0.833 0.83)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.28400000000001 0.28)34.83% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.298 0.3)71.56% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 72.68%
    PEC Zwolle 12.04%
    Draw 15.28%
PSV EindhovenDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.71% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.17% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.56% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.27% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.89% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-2 @ 1.61% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 72.68%
1-1 @ 6.51% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.095 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 2.38% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 12.04%

Head to Head
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
PEC Zwolle
1-2
PSV
Kastaneer (16')
Redan (86')
Bruma (11'), Ledezma (73')
Oct 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
3-1
PEC Zwolle
Ramalho (84'), Gakpo (86'), Boscagli (89')
Boscagli (76')
Redan (3')
Pabai (53'), Tedic (76'), De Wit (77')
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
PSV
4-2
PEC Zwolle
Mous (22' og.), Malen (29'), Vertessen (34'), Zahavi (54')
Pherai (69'), Lagsir (90')
Bajselmani (42'), Olivier Doue (52'), Lam (66')
Oct 18, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
PEC Zwolle
0-3
PSV

Huiberts (43'), van Polen (57')
Gotze (9'), Gakpo (18'), Malen (39')
Rosario (61'), Sangare (86')
Dec 21, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 18
PSV
4-1
PEC Zwolle
Hendrix (18'), Ihattaren (26'), Bruma (51'), Gakpo (72')
Viergever (60')
Saymak (12')
Dekker (8'), van Crooij (43'), Paal (68'), Thy (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II206592428-423
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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