Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
PSV4 - 0PEC Zwolle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 PEC Zwolle
With the visitors having impressed of late, this has effectively become a free pass to try to shock the leaders. However, we do not anticipate any Dutch team defeating PSV for the foreseeable future and it would come as a surprise if the home side do not cruise to victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
72.68% ( -0.88) | 15.28% ( 0.39) | 12.04% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
