MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 14:53:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
Ajax

PSV
5 - 2
Ajax

Lozano (20', 60', 72'), de Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')

The Match

Match Report

Ajax sink to the bottom of the Eredivisie table after a 5-2 defeat at leaders and rivals PSV Eindhoven, who remain perfect this season after a 10th win from 10.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Brighton 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.48%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 17.31% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (4.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
65.48% (1.588 1.59) 17.2% (-0.305 -0.31) 17.31% (-1.287 -1.29)
Both teams to score 67.97% (-1.53 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.43% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)24.56% (0.802 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.65% (-1.066 -1.07)44.35% (1.063 1.06)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.79% (0.088999999999999 0.09)7.21% (-0.0911 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.84% (0.235 0.23)26.16% (-0.237 -0.24)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-1.722 -1.72)26.74% (1.719 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-2.326 -2.33)62.02% (2.326 2.33)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 65.48%
    Ajax 17.31%
    Draw 17.2%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.71% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.41 0.41)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.386 0.39)
3-2 @ 5.08% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.07% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 5.07% (0.29 0.29)
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.27 0.27)
4-2 @ 3.34% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.67% (0.076 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.02% (0.152 0.15)
5-2 @ 1.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.47% (-0.114 -0.11)
6-1 @ 1.17% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.98%
Total : 65.48%
1-1 @ 6.69% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 1.93% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 17.2%
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-1 @ 2.54% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 17.31%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
83.6%
Draw
9.1%
Ajax
7.3%
55
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Final
Ajax
1-1
PSV
 PSV win 3-2 on penalties
Branthwaite (42' og.)
Hazard (67')
> Match Report
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
Final
PSV
2-1
Ajax
Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
> Eredivisie Full Table


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