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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PSV

Almere City
0 - 4
PSV


Akujobi (28')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Til (26'), Lozano (42'), Veerman (66'), Pepi (90+3')
Boscagli (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 PSV
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Almere City 0-4 PSV Eindhoven

PSV should easily bounce back from their disappointing display in midweek by beating one of the favourites for relegation. Having already lost 4-1 here against Twente and 6-1 at Feyenoord, there is not much down for Almere, who are expected to fall to a fifth defeat from six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 0-1 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
Almere CityDrawPSV Eindhoven
20.9% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.27% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 58.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.66% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)33.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.14% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)55.86% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65.23% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)11.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)36.18% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 20.9%
    PSV Eindhoven 58.83%
    Draw 20.27%
Almere CityDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 20.9%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.83%

How you voted: Almere City vs PSV

Almere City
4.8%
Draw
14.3%
PSV Eindhoven
81.0%
21
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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