MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:10:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
0 - 0
Almere City


El Yaakoubi (13'), Zagre (66')
FT

Resink (26'), Robinet (45'), Royo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-2 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-1 Almere City

Excelsior have gone off the boil slightly following a decent first two matches, but a home clash with Almere on Sunday afternoon is the perfect opportunity to earn a second maximum of the season. The Black Sheep look out of place in the Eredivisie judging off their opening four results, although we believe that they will be competitive this weekend in Rotterdam - even if they suffer another loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAlmere City
45.66% (0.938 0.94) 22.93% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 31.4% (-0.896 -0.9)
Both teams to score 63.75% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8% (-0.197 -0.2)37.19% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.6% (-0.213 -0.21)59.4% (0.213 0.21)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (0.283 0.28)16.73% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (0.505 0.5)46.65% (-0.504 -0.5)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (-0.61 -0.61)23.44% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (-0.895 -0.9)57.44% (0.894 0.89)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 45.66%
    Almere City 31.4%
    Draw 22.93%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 45.66%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.4%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Almere City

SBV Excelsior
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Almere City
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 32
Almere City
3-0
Excelsior
Puriel (51'), Alhaft (54'), Duijvestijn (69')
Pouwels (74')

El Yaakoubi (43'), Wieffer (54')
Nov 14, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Excelsior
4-4
Almere City
Niemeijer (11', 82'), Dallinga (16'), Resink (54' og.)
Horemans (80'), Wieffer (89')
Duijvestijn (25'), Arweiler (69', 74', 78')
Receveur (24'), Duijvestijn (39')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Almere City
4-1
Excelsior
Hammouti (37', 44'), Emmers (79'), Yeboah (90')
Mendes Moreira (88')
Wieffer (66')
Sep 6, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
4-6
Almere City
Niemeijer (5'), Mar Omarsson (16', 18', 87')
Matthys (17')
Verheydt (3', 37'), Hammouti (24'), Margaritha (25'), Emmers (86'), Receveur (88')
Verheydt (17'), Mirani (77'), Lesquoy (78')
Mar 29, 2020 11.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!