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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Almere City |
45.66% ( 0.94) | 22.93% ( -0.04) | 31.4% ( -0.9) |
Both teams to score 63.75% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.8% ( -0.2) | 37.19% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.6% ( -0.21) | 59.4% ( 0.21) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.26% ( 0.28) | 16.73% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.35% ( 0.5) | 46.65% ( -0.5) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( -0.61) | 23.44% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% ( -0.9) | 57.44% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.08) Other @ 4.36% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 31.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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