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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Excelsior

Nijmegen
3 - 4
Excelsior

Baas (36'), Hansen (44'), Ogawa (60')
Marques (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Agrafiotis (12'), Widell (53'), Omorowa (73'), Uddenas (90+10')
Seymor (84'), Baas (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 Excelsior
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-0 SBV Excelsior

While the opening day could throw up some surprises, NEC do have more quality throughout their squad than the visitors and should fancy themselves to come out on top with home advantage also on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
62.38% (0.17299999999999 0.17) 20.27% (-0.199 -0.2) 17.35% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.761 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.3% (0.973 0.97)39.7% (-0.975 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.95% (1.004 1)62.05% (-1.006 -1.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.8% (0.34400000000001 0.34)12.19% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.15% (0.723 0.72)37.85% (-0.724 -0.72)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.62 0.62)36.24% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (0.624 0.62)73.02% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    NEC 62.38%
    SBV Excelsior 17.35%
    Draw 20.27%
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.86% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.61% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 62.38%
1-1 @ 9.44% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.077 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.48% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.35%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Excelsior

NEC
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 22
Excelsior
0-3
Nijmegen
Mattsson (44'), Elkarouani (73'), Musaba (85')
Oct 8, 2022 8pm
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
2-1
Nijmegen
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
Vet (16')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
3-2
Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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