Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.