Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 4, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Almeria4 - 1Sevilla
Suarez Charris (90+6' pen., 55', 78'), Milovanovic (49')
Milovanovic (17'), Nico (37'), Quintanilla Rodriguez (90+2')
Milovanovic (17'), Nico (37'), Quintanilla Rodriguez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Almeria are a strong outfit and will enter this match in excellent form; if the hosts select their best players, then we fancy them to emerge victorious on Saturday afternoon against a Sevilla outfit that are having another difficult campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Sevilla |
48.05% ( -1.25) | 23.9% ( 0.42) | 28.05% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
