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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Leicester logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Leicester

Barkley (58'), Bailey (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mavididi (63')
Soumare (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Leon Bailey hits the winner as Aston Villa record a 2-1 victory over relegation-threatened Leicester City in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Aston Villa could line up for Saturday afternoon's Premier League match with Leicester City at Villa Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-2 Man City
Sunday, December 29 at 2.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
63.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 19.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 16.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 58.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.82% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)34.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)71.12%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 63.91%
    Leicester City 16.85%
    Draw 19.24%
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.33%
3-0 @ 6.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.91%
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 63.91%
1-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.24%
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leicester

Aston Villa
84.3%
Draw
5.9%
Leicester City
9.8%
153
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leicester
1-2
Aston Villa
Buonanotte (73')
Skipp (26'), Okoli (74'), Vardy (83'), Winks (90+3'), Cooper (90+7')
Onana (28'), Duran (63')
Onana (8'), Tielemans (40'), Bogarde (55'), McGinn (74'), Duran (90+2')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Leicester
1-2
Aston Villa
Barnes (35')
Watkins (24'), Traore (87')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
2-4
Leicester
Watkins (9'), Souttar (32' og.)
Maddison (12'), Iheanacho (41'), Tete (45+2'), Praet (79')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leicester
0-0
Aston Villa
Mendy (63'), Dewsbury-Hall (65'), Maddison (75')
Luiz (72'), Bailey (90+5')
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
2-1
Leicester
Konsa (17', 54')
Nakamba (55')
Barnes (14')
Maddison (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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