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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Leicester logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Leicester

Barkley (58'), Bailey (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mavididi (63')
Soumare (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Leon Bailey hits the winner as Aston Villa record a 2-1 victory over relegation-threatened Leicester City in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Aston Villa could line up for Saturday afternoon's Premier League match with Leicester City at Villa Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Monday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-2 Man City
Sunday, December 29 at 2.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
63.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 19.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 16.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 58.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.82% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)34.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)71.12%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 63.91%
    Leicester City 16.85%
    Draw 19.24%
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.33%
3-0 @ 6.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.91%
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 63.91%
1-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23%
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.24%
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leicester

Aston Villa
84.3%
Draw
5.9%
Leicester City
9.8%
153
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leicester
1-2
Aston Villa
Buonanotte (73')
Skipp (26'), Okoli (74'), Vardy (83'), Winks (90+3'), Cooper (90+7')
Onana (28'), Duran (63')
Onana (8'), Tielemans (40'), Bogarde (55'), McGinn (74'), Duran (90+2')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Leicester
1-2
Aston Villa
Barnes (35')
Watkins (24'), Traore (87')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
2-4
Leicester
Watkins (9'), Souttar (32' og.)
Maddison (12'), Iheanacho (41'), Tete (45+2'), Praet (79')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Leicester
0-0
Aston Villa
Mendy (63'), Dewsbury-Hall (65'), Maddison (75')
Luiz (72'), Bailey (90+5')
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
2-1
Leicester
Konsa (17', 54')
Nakamba (55')
Barnes (14')
Maddison (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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