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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Leicester logo

Aston Villa
2 - 4
Leicester

Watkins (9'), Souttar (32' og.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Maddison (12'), Iheanacho (41'), Tete (45+2'), Praet (79')
Castagne (56'), Soyuncu (86'), Tielemans (88')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City twice come from behind to record a 4-2 win over Aston Villa in Saturday afternoon's Premier League clash at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
44.41% (1.988 1.99) 25.06% (-0.221 -0.22) 30.53% (-1.769 -1.77)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (0.283 0.28)47.47% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.262 0.26)69.68% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (1.045 1.05)21.39% (-1.047 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (1.589 1.59)54.38% (-1.591 -1.59)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (-1.025 -1.03)29.06% (1.023 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (-1.286 -1.29)64.97% (1.284 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.41%
    Leicester City 30.53%
    Draw 25.05%
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.367 0.37)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.158 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.53%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leicester

Aston Villa
64.6%
Draw
18.4%
Leicester City
17.0%
147
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Feb 21, 2021 2.05pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Leicester
Traore (48')
Luiz (51'), Elmohamady (59')
Maddison (19'), Barnes (23')
Ndidi (34')
Oct 18, 2020 7.15pm
Leicester
0-1
Aston Villa

Perez (31'), Tielemans (41'), Castagne (73'), Evans (74')
Barkley (90+1')
McGinn (32'), Cash (40'), Luiz (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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