Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
40.71% ( -0.31) | 27.09% ( -0.15) | 32.2% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.73% ( 0.71) | 55.27% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.51% ( 0.58) | 76.49% ( -0.58) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( 0.17) | 26.67% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% ( 0.22) | 61.91% ( -0.22) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% ( 0.69) | 31.86% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.7% ( 0.78) | 68.3% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 47 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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