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EFL Cup
Wolves logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Leeds logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Leeds

Traore (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Leeds United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Leeds United (Wolves to win on penalties)

 Leeds are certainly leaving Wolves behind at the bottom of the Premier League table, but rotation on both ends could open this tie up for an exciting, end-to-end affair, especially with the hosts now improving on the attacking front. We would not be surprised to see this encounter end all square at Molineux, and with the vociferous home support behind them, Wolves can edge the penalty kicks to advance to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.83% (0.052 0.05) 24.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 34.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 57.62% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (0.23699999999999 0.24)45.68% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (0.227 0.23)68% (-0.221 -0.22)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.13 0.13)22.31% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (0.193 0.19)55.78% (-0.187 -0.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (0.117 0.12)25.84% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2% (0.157 0.16)60.8% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.83%
    Leeds United 34.24%
    Draw 24.93%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.24%

How you voted: Wolves vs Leeds

Wolverhampton Wanderers
51.0%
Leeds United
49.0%
51
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
Podence (6')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
Oct 19, 2020 8pm
Leeds
0-1
Wolves

Ayling (15'), Phillips (61')
Jimenez (70')
Moutinho (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


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