MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 06:59:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Liverpool logo
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Southampton logo
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Brentford logo

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Brentford

Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford

Brentford have drawn three of their five away Premier League matches this season, while Villa have won just twice in front of their own fans in the league this term. There should be a reaction from the hosts following Gerrard's departure, but Brentford are strong enough to claim a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
45.15% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 26.26% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 28.58% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)53.4% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)74.93% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-0.073 -0.07)57.64% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)33.51% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)70.15% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 45.15%
    Brentford 28.58%
    Draw 26.26%
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brentford

Aston Villa
36.8%
Draw
19.4%
Brentford
43.8%
201
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
Dec 26, 2017 7.30pm
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Sawyers (22'), Vibe (52')
McEachran (37'), Barbet (41')
Onomah (30')
Elphick (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!