Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
34.81% ( -0.02) | 25.05% ( 0) | 40.13% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.87% ( -0.02) | 46.12% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.57% ( -0.02) | 68.42% ( 0.02) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( -0.02) | 25.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.37% ( -0.02) | 60.63% ( 0.02) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( -0.01) | 22.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( -0.01) | 56.58% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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