MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 01:11:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Connah's Quay

Reffell (54')
Little (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Disney (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-2 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
44.77% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.61% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 30.61% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 57.31% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (0.088000000000001 0.09)45.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (0.084000000000003 0.08)67.8% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.4% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)52.83% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.131 0.13)28% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (0.16699999999999 0.17)63.64% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 44.77%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 30.62%
    Draw 24.6%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 44.77%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.62%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
0-1
Pen-y-Bont

Kenny (40')
Kircough (78')
Harling (41'), Borge (50'), Borge (69')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (7'), Richards (54'), Harling (70'), Davies (90+4')
Wilde (87')
Edwards (12'), Franklin (56'), Poole (90+1'), Stratulis (90+4')
Poole (90+5')
Sep 30, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Connah's Quay
4-2
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (11', 58'), Kenny (24'), Harrington (90')
Davies (36'), Kenny (65'), Disney (90+4')
Venables (70' pen.), Jefferies (81')
Little (22'), Evans (65'), Kircough (68'), Owen (90+1')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (81' pen.)
Nash (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
11Briton Ferry2153132744-1718
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!