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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 1
Flint Town

Crole (28'), Davies (45+1'), Venables (45+2')
Green (29'), Harling (29')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Owen (50')
Beaumont (35'), Yonsian (52'), Burke (63'), Burke (64')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-5 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 4-1 Flint Town
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 14.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawFlint Town United
66.72% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 18.43% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 14.85% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.05% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)35.95% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.96% (-0.101 -0.1)58.04% (0.102 0.1)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.02% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)9.98% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.02% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)32.97% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)36.97% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)73.76% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 66.72%
    Flint Town United 14.85%
    Draw 18.43%
Pen-y-BontDrawFlint Town United
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 66.72%
1-1 @ 8.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 4.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.67% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.85%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Flint Town
0-1
Pen-y-Bont

Hughes (41'), Lee (45'), Sanogo Fofana (52'), Lambert (60'), Owen (90+4')
Pritchard (70')
Kircough (43'), Crole (85')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Flint Town
Kavanagh (47'), Griffiths (59')
Kavanagh (44'), Borge (65'), Griffiths (90')
Akpa Akpro (30')
Harrison (38'), Akpa Akpro (66'), Simmonds (85')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
(Aggregate 1-1 | Flint Town win 3-1 on penalties)
Jones (6')
Roberts (51'), Nash (53')
Wood (53' pen.)
Snaith (81'), Owen (83')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Flint Town

Harling (11')
Reynolds (20')
Nash (22'), Cadwallader (34', 44')
Roberts (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
7Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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