Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 5Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Bala Town
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
22.3% ( 0.22) | 22.76% ( 0.04) | 54.94% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
