MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:13:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Rees (3')
Craven (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lloyd (38', 56')
Clarke (82')
Downey (90+5'), Downey (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
48.56% (0.267 0.27) 22.33% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 29.11% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 64.53% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (0.143 0.14)35.57% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (0.16 0.16)57.62% (-0.161 -0.16)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93% (0.146 0.15)15.07% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (0.277 0.28)43.59% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.02% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)58.29% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 48.56%
    Caernarfon Town 29.11%
    Draw 22.33%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Lloyd (19' pen.)
Owen (22'), Lloyd (87')
Clubb (6'), Reynolds (42')
Edwards (67')
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Williams (86'), Davies (90')
Lloyd (63'), Williams (87')

Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')
Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!