MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 01:01:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Lambert (38')
Sanogo Fofana (23'), Lambert (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes (5'), Jones (87')
Mooney (66'), Gosset (90+4'), Jones (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-1 Flint Town
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.75%) and 1-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
46.8% (2.149 2.15) 21.75% (0.144 0.14) 31.45% (-2.295 -2.3)
Both teams to score 68.28% (-1.671 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.73% (-1.746 -1.75)31.27% (1.743 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.29% (-2.09 -2.09)52.71% (2.088 2.09)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.93% (0.060000000000002 0.06)14.06% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.34% (0.117 0.12)41.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-2.001 -2)20.53% (2 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-3.268 -3.27)53.04% (3.266 3.27)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 46.8%
    Caernarfon Town 31.45%
    Draw 21.75%
Flint Town UnitedDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.343 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.237 0.24)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.541 0.54)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.542 0.54)
3-2 @ 4.55% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.362 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.18 0.18)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.27 0.27)
3-3 @ 2.4% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Flint Town vs Caernarfon

Flint Town United
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Caernarfon Town
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Flint Town
2-3
Caernarfon
Beaumont (18'), Diau (35')
Donohue (31' pen.), Edwards (49'), Faux (86')
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Flint Town
2-1
Caernarfon
Stephens (10'), Cole (90')
Faux (53')
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Caernarfon
2-0
Flint Town
O'Rourke (82'), Wynne (86')
May 14, 2022 2pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Flint Town
Gosset (97'), Bell (120')
Edwards (22'), Donohue (44')
Nash (102')
Hart (38'), Jones (100')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Flint Town
3-4
Caernarfon
Roberts (28'), Cadwallader (75' pen., 77')
Weaver (3'), Jones (45'), Nash (69'), Kenny (70'), Harwood (85'), (87')
Weaver (88')
Hayes (21'), Hughes (22'), Edwards (42'), Donohue (45+2' pen.)
Hughes (35'), Williams (39'), Thomas (70'), Edwards (76'), Bailey (78'), John (89')
Simpson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints23180564273754
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont24156343182551
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest24128432131944
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2311483836237
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU2410593533235
6Bala TownBala Town2471163127432
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2410683740-336
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2485113428629
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2472153051-2123
4Briton Ferry2464143750-1322
5Newtown AFCNewtown2455142649-2320
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2452172257-3517
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!