MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:44:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Cardiff MU

Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-1 Bala Town
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
43.68% (0.107 0.11) 24.74% (-0.041 -0.04) 31.58% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.34% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (0.157 0.16)45.63% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (0.147 0.15)67.96% (-0.145 -0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.11199999999999 0.11)20.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (0.175 0.18)53.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.036000000000001 0.04)27.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (0.044999999999995 0.04)62.94% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 43.68%
    Cardiff MU 31.58%
    Draw 24.74%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.58%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')
Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Bradley (4', 37', 58'), Davies (49'), Clarke (69')
Donohue (52' og.)
Craven (32'), H (76')
Craven (81')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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