Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid
Bala Town1 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Newtown
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
52.98% ( -0.05) | 23.78% ( -0) | 23.24% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
