MX23RW : Friday, January 24 09:36:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Newell (40')
Arsan (57'), Roberts (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (50')
Gosset (45+2'), Owen (71'), Bradley (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Newtown
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
52.98% (-0.052 -0.05) 23.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.24% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.75% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (0.067 0.07)47.25% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (0.061 0.06)69.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)17.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.088999999999999 0.09)34.63% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.094000000000001 0.09)71.35% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 52.98%
    Caernarfon Town 23.24%
    Draw 23.77%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 52.98%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 23.24%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bala Town
3-0
Caernarfon
Newell (16'), Roscrow (40'), Venables (89' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Caernarfon
1-5
Bala Town
Thomas (5')
Kay (10'), Nalatche Mendes (34'), Wall (51'), Shannon (65'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
0-2
Bala Town

Donohue (55')
Simpson (80')
Evans (55'), Ebbe (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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