MX23RW : Monday, February 3 11:17:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo

Caernarfon
1 - 0
Newtown

Gosset (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sutton (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-8 New Saints
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-5 Bala Town
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 37.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
37.62% (0.595 0.59) 23.19% (0.165 0.16) 39.18% (-0.764 -0.76)
Both teams to score 64.59% (-0.60000000000001 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.18% (-0.8 -0.8)36.82% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.01% (-0.872 -0.87)58.99% (0.867 0.87)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)19.99% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (-0.114 -0.11)52.17% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)19.27% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-1.132 -1.13)51% (1.128 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 37.62%
    Newtown AFC 39.18%
    Draw 23.19%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.2% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 37.62%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 39.18%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newtown
4-0
Caernarfon
Williams (40', 45+3', 71'), Sears (85')
Evans (51'), Sutton (57'), Cowans (73'), Sears (77'), Mills-Evans (89'), Jones (90+3')

Donohue (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-1
Newtown
Mooney (40'), Lloyd (90+1')
Clarke (45+4'), Davies (53'), Mooney (60'), Thomas (84')
Davies (82')
Williams (90+10')
Evans (18'), Roberts (68'), Ismail (80'), Boakye (84')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
2-1
Caernarfon
Rushton (3'), Williams (23')
Wynne (55')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Oct 23, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Newtown
1-0
Caernarfon
Mwandwe (45+2')
Roberts (45'), (88'), Jones (90+5')

Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints23180564273754
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont24156343182551
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest24128432131944
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2311483836237
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU2410593533235
6Bala TownBala Town2471163127432
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2410683740-336
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2485113428629
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2472153051-2123
4Briton Ferry2464143750-1322
5Newtown AFCNewtown2455142649-2320
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2452172257-3517
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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