Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown2 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Newtown
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Aberystwyth Town | 3 | -4 | 3 |
11 | Newtown AFC | 3 | -5 | 1 |
12 | Airbus UK Broughton | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Cardiff MU | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
44.57% ( -0) | 25.51% | 29.92% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% | 49.69% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% | 71.71% |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% ( -0) | 22.26% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.3% | 55.7% |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% ( 0) | 30.6% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% ( 0) | 66.84% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 44.56%
Caernarfon Town 29.92%
Draw 25.5%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.92% |
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 5.15pm
Newtown
1-0
Caernarfon
Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm
Caernarfon
1-1
Newtown
Bradley (34')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Williams (13'), Mendes (59'), Hayes (77'), Bradley (90+4')
Breese (84')
O'Neill (31')
O'Neill (31')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Caernarfon
Mendes (45+3'), Bradley (59'), Edwards (79')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Thomas (66'), Brookwell (70'), Williams (89')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-23 12:58:31
FT
Buccaneers
24-26
Cowboys
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 39 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 13 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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